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3 Question 6 (5 points) In the VLAB GJR-GARCH model for Microsoft, volatility, parameters and t-statistics are given below. If the stock falls by 5%
3 Question 6 (5 points) In the VLAB GJR-GARCH model for Microsoft, volatility, parameters and t-statistics are given below. If the stock falls by 5% today (May 5), what will be forecast for volatility the next day, May 6? 6 9 Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, May 5th, 2020: 49.31% (-1.72%) 12 Parameter Estimates 15 param t-stat 3 0.000005 13 0.03 16 0.92 488 0.05 10 Y Question 7 (5 points) Assuming Normal distribution for returns and the volatility forecast of 25%, find the 1% ten-day Value at Risk of a portfolio with $1,000,000 of this asset (assume that volatility is constant for 10 days and returns are independent). plain excel sheet.xlsx 116,037 1,842,027 582,500 36,694
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