3. Suppose the federal budget deficit for the year was $100 billion and the economy was in a recession. If the economy had been at potential GDP, it is estimated that tax revenues would have been $60 billion higher and government spending on transfer payments $50 billion lower. Using these estimates, what was the cyclically adjusted budget deficit or surplus for the year? Show your calculations and explain. 4. How could the existence of an unemployment insurance system or other transfer programs have reduced the severity of the Great Depression? Reflect on whether they are working currently. What adjustments do you recommend? (Support your answers with academic journal articles.)