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3. The prior probabilities for events A 1 , A 2 , and A 3 are P(A 1 ) = .30, P(A 2 ) =

3. The prior probabilities for events A1, A2, and A3 are P(A1) = .30, P(A2) = .50, and P(A3) = .20. The conditional probabilities of event B given A1, A2, and A3, are P(B|A1) = .30, P(B|A2) = .40, and P(B|A3) = .50.

a. Compute P(BA1), P(BA2), and P(BA3).

b. Apply Bayes' theorem, equation (4.19), to compute the posterior probability P(A3|B).

c. Use the tabular approach to applying Bayes' theorem to compute P(A1|B), P(A2|B), and P(A3|B).

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