32

Transcendent Technologies is deciding between developing a complicated thought-activated software, or a simple voice-activated software. Since the thought-activated software is complicated, it only has a 30% chance of actually going through to a successful launch, but would generate revenues of $50million if launched. The voice-activated software is simple and hence has a 80% chance of being launched but only generates a revenue of $10million. The complicated technology costs 10million, whereas the simple technology costs 2million. If the simplified version costs $2 million and its probability of success is 75%, whereas the cost of the complicated version is $10million, what is the minimum probability of success for the complicated version that would make the firm indifferent between the two software?

a. 0.3

b. 0.31

c. 0.32

d. 0.33