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4. A baseball analytics specialist wants to determine which variables are important in predicting a team's wins in a given season. He has collected data

4. A baseball analytics specialist wants to determine which variables are important in predicting a team's wins in a given season. He has collected data related to wins, earned run average (ERA), and runs scored per game for a recent season (stored in Baseball.xlsx). Develop a model to predict the number of wins based on ERA and runs scored per game.

a. (5 points) State the multiple regression equation and interpret the meaning of the slopes in this equation.

b. (5 points) Is there a significant relationship between the number of wins and the two independent variables (ERA and runs scored per game) at the 0.05 level of significance? Explain.

c. (5 points) At the 0.05 level of significance, determine whether each independent variable makes a significant contribution to the regression model. Explain.

d. (5 points) Construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of the population slope between wins and ERA.

Suppose the analytics specialist decides to drop runs scored per game and to include the league (0 = American, 1 = National) as an independent variable in addition to ERA. Develop a model to predict wins based on ERA and league.

e. (5 points) State the multiple regression equation and interpret the meaning of the slopes in this equation.

f. (5 points) At the 0.05 level of significance, determine whether each independent variable makes a significant contribution to the regression model. Explain.

Suppose the analytics specialist decides to add an interaction term between ERA and league. Develop a model to predict wins based on ERA, league and the interaction term.

g. (5 points) At the 0.05 level of significance, determine whether the interaction term makes a significant contribution to the model.

Team Wins League E.R.A. Interaction Runs Scored Hits Allowed Walks Allowed Saves Errors
Baltimore 64 0 5.15 0.00 741 1633 546 31 90
Boston 95 0 4.35 0.00 872 1494 530 41 82
Chicago White Sox 79 0 4.14 0.00 724 1438 507 36 113
Cleveland 65 0 5.06 0.00 773 1570 598 25 97
Detroit 86 0 4.29 0.00 743 1449 594 42 88
Houston 74 1 4.54 4.54 643 1521 546 39 78
Kansas City 65 0 4.83 0.00 686 1486 600 34 116
Los Angeles Angels 97 0 4.45 0.00 883 1513 523 51 85
Minnesota 86 0 4.50 0.00 817 1542 466 48 76
New York Yankees 103 0 4.26 0.00 915 1386 574 51 86
Oakland 75 0 4.26 0.00 759 1486 523 38 105
Seattle 85 0 3.87 0.00 640 1359 534 49 105
Tampa Bay 84 0 4.33 0.00 803 1421 515 41 98
Texas 87 0 4.38 0.00 764 1432 531 45 106
Toronto 75 0 4.47 0.00 798 1509 551 25 76
Arizona 70 1 4.42 4.42 720 1470 525 36 124
Atlanta 86 1 3.57 3.57 735 1399 530 38 96
Chicago Cubs 83 1 3.84 3.84 707 1329 586 40 105
Cincinnati 78 1 4.18 4.18 673 1420 577 41 89
Colorado 92 1 4.22 4.22 804 1427 528 45 87
Florida 87 1 4.29 4.29 772 1425 601 45 106
Los Angeles Dodgers 95 1 3.41 3.41 780 1265 584 44 83
Milwaukee 80 1 4.83 4.83 785 1498 607 44 98
New York Mets 70 1 4.45 4.45 671 1452 616 39 97
Philadelphia 93 1 4.16 4.16 820 1479 489 44 76
Pittsburgh 62 1 4.59 4.59 636 1491 563 28 73
St. Louis 91 1 3.66 3.66 730 1407 460 43 96
San Diego 75 1 4.37 4.37 638 1422 603 45 94
San Francisco 88 1 3.55 3.55 657 1268 584 41 88
Washington 59 1 5.00 5.00 710 1533 629 33 143

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