4.1 Discussion: Where is Probability?

Probability plays a greater role in life than many people give credit outside of simply just "luck." Consider the program for which you are studying here at ECPI. How does probability play a part in your program's professional field?

Instructions

Discussion Topic

Get on the Gallup website at

https://www.gallup.com/Search/Default.aspx?s=&p=1&q=polls&b=(Links to an external site.)

Pick one of the articles (not a blog) on the Gallup website OR select an article listed below and discuss the measures of central tendency. In the article, scroll down and find the "survey methods" box and click the +.

Articles

Saad, L. (2020, October 30). Americans Plan to Scale Back on Holiday Spending This Year. Retrieved October 31, 2020, from https://news.gallup.com/poll/322796/americans-plan-scale-back-holiday-spending-year.aspx(Links to an external site.)

Crabtree, S. (2020, October 29). Americans' Social Distancing Habits Have Tapered Since July. Retrieved October 31, 2020, from https://news.gallup.com/poll/322064/americans-social-distancing-habits-tapered-july.aspx(Links to an external site.)

Saad, L. (2020, October 29). Americans' Readiness to Get COVID-19 Vaccine Falls to 50%. Retrieved October 31, 2020, from https://news.gallup.com/poll/321839/readiness-covid-vaccine-falls-past-month.aspx(Links to an external site.)

Brenan, P. (2020, October 20). Americans Favor Saving Over Spending Until Vaccine. Retrieved October 31, 2020, from https://news.gallup.com/poll/318815/americans-favor-saving-spending-until-vaccine.aspx(Links to an external site.)

Brenan, M. (2020, October 29). More Voters Than in Prior Years Say Election Outcome Matters. Retrieved October 31, 2020, from https://news.gallup.com/poll/322010/voters-prior-years-say-election-outcome-matters.aspx(Links to an external site.)

Newport, F. (2020, October 28). Americans and the Role of Government. Retrieved October 31, 2020, from https://news.gallup.com/opinion/polling-matters/321767/americans-role-government.aspx(Links to an external site.)

Saad, L. (2020, October 29). U.S. Satisfaction With Women's Treatment Remains Tepid. Retrieved October 31, 2020, from https://news.gallup.com/poll/317279/satisfaction-women-treatment-remains-tepid.aspx(Links to an external site.)

McCarthy, J. (2020, October 29). Ideal Evenings for Most Americans Involve Family Time, TV. Retrieved October 31, 2020, from https://news.gallup.com/poll/313028/ideal-evenings-americans-involve-family-time.aspx(Links to an external site.)

Saad, L. (2020, October 29). U.S. Conservatism Down Since Start of 2020. Retrieved October 31, 2020, from https://news.gallup.com/poll/316094/conservatism-down-start-2020.aspx(Links to an external site.)

Gallup, I. (2020, May 21). The Characteristics of Good Jobs for Low-Income Workers. Retrieved October 31, 2020, from https://www.gallup.com/education/309911/characteristics-good-jobs-low-income-workers.aspx(Links to an external site.)

In your original post, answer the following:

• Describe the survey methods used by Gallup.
• Interpret the margin of error presented in the article and construct the confidence interval based on the margin of error.
• What confidence was used in the article?
• Do you think the confidence level selected was appropriate? Why or why not?