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5) Consider the following scenario analysis: Scenario Recession Normal economy Boom Probability 0.20 0.60 0.20 Stock Returns -5% 15% 25% Bond Returns 14% 8% 4%

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5) Consider the following scenario analysis: Scenario Recession Normal economy Boom Probability 0.20 0.60 0.20 Stock Returns -5% 15% 25% Bond Returns 14% 8% 4% a. Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms? b. Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each investment. C. Which investment would you prefer

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