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6. A fair coin is tossed three times. Let Y be the random variable that denotes the square of the number of heads. For
6. A fair coin is tossed three times. Let Y be the random variable that denotes the square of the number of heads. For example, in the outcome HTH, there are two heads and Y = 4. What is E[Y]? 7. A class of 10 students hang up their coats when they arrive at school. Just before recess, the teacher hands one coat selected at random to each child. What is the expected number of children who get his or her own coat? 8. The probability that a circuit board produced by a particular manufacturer has a defect is 1%. You can assume that errors are independent, so the event that one circuit board has a defect is independent of whether a different circuit board has a defect. (a) What is the probability that out of 100 circuit boards made exactly 2 have defects? (b) What is the probability that out of 100 circuit boards made at least 2 have defects? (c) What is the expected number of circuit boards with defects out of the 100 made? (d) Now suppose that the circuit boards are made in batches of two. Either both circuit boards in a batch have a defect or they are both free of defects. The probability that a batch has a defect is 1%. What is the probability that out of 100 circuit boards (50 batches) at least 2 have defects? What is the expected number of circuit boards with defects out of the 100 made? How do your answers compared to the situation in which each circuit board is made separately? 9. A gambler has a coin which is either fair (equal probability heads or tails) or is biased with a probability of heads equal to 0.3. Without knowing which coin he is using, you ask him to flip the coin 10 times. If the number of heads is at least 4, you conclude that the coin is fair. If the number of heads is less than 4, you conclude that the coin is biased. (b) What is the probability that you reach an incorrect conclusion if the coin is biased?
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