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6. Consider an urn which contains red balls and green balls. Initially there isjust one green ball and one red ball in the urn. At
6. Consider an urn which contains red balls and green balls. Initially there isjust one green ball and one red ball in the urn. At each time step a ball is chosen randomly from the urn: {i} If the ball is red, then it's returned to the urn with an additional red ball; [ii] if the ball is green, then it's returned to the urn with an additional green ball. Let X\" denote the number of red balls in the urn after n draws. Suppose after 100 draws. there are 7'0 red balls, that is X103 = 70. What is the expected number of red balls in the urn after another 100 draws. that is [E[X200|an = 70]? Round your answerto the nearest integer. Hint: consider Y1.1 = Xn/[n l 2)
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