Question
7) The Dominguez Hills Company has the following forecasts generated by two forecasting methods. Actual sales for the same time periods are shown below: YEAR
7) The Dominguez Hills Company has the following forecasts generated by two forecasting methods. Actual sales for the same time periods are shown below:
YEAR | SALES | FORECAST 1 | FORECAST 2 |
1 | 895 | 875 | 867 |
2 | 875 | 902 | 883 |
3 | 910 | 892 | 906 |
4 | 840 | 866 | 868 |
5 | 865 | 850 | 888 |
6 | 900 | 917 | 908 |
7 | 845 | 825 | 820 |
8 | 890 | 868 | 885 |
Compute the tracking signal for each forecasting method. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to two decimal places. Use a minus sign to enter a negative value, if any.
Tracking signal (method 1):
Tracking signal (method 2):
Why is tracking signal important in assessing the performance of a forecasting model?
If the tracking signal falls ______ preset control limits, there is a bias problem with the forecasting method.
Assuming that the control limit for the tracking signal is 4, the first forecasting method _____ within the limits and the second forecasting method --_____ within the limits.
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