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8. Abandonment options Herman Co. is considering a four-year project that will require an initial investment of $12,000. The base-case cash flows for this project
8. Abandonment options Herman Co. is considering a four-year project that will require an initial investment of $12,000. The base-case cash flows for this project are projected to be $15,000 per year. The best-case cash flows are projected to be $22,000 per year, and the worst-case cash flows are projected to be -$1,500 per year. The company's analysts have estimated that there is a 50% probability that the project will generate the base-case cash flows. The analysts also think that there is a 25% probability of the project generating the best-case cash flows and a 25% probability of the project generating the worst- case cash flows. What would be the expected net present value (NPV) of this project if the project's cost of capital is 11%? $28,527 O$23,094 $29,886 $27,169 Herman now wants to take into account its ability to abandon the project at the end of year 2 if the project ends up generating the worst-case scenario cash flows. If it decides to abandon the project at the end of year 2, the company will receive a one-time net cash inflow of $4,500 (at the end of year 2). The $4,500 the company receives at the end of year 2 is the difference between the cash the company receives from selling off the project's assets and the company's -$1,500 cash outflow from operations. Additionally, if it abandons the project, the company will have no cash flows of the project. in years 3 and Using the information in the preceding problem, find the expected NPV of this project when taking the abandonment option into account. $33,243 $34,688 $27,462 $28,907 What is the value of the option to abandon the project? $1,477 $1,390 $1,738 $1,825 $1,130 project
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