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a 7. there are three doors, behind one of which there is a car (which you want), and behind the other two of which there

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a 7. there are three doors, behind one of which there is a car (which you want), and behind the other two of which there are goats (which you don't want). Initially, all possibilities are equally likely for where the car is. You choose a door, which for concreteness we assume is Door 1. Monty Hall then opens a door to reveal a goat, and oders you the option of switching. Assume that Monty Hall knows which door has the car, will always open a goat door and offer the option of switching, and as above assume that if Monty Hall has a choice between opening Door 2 and Door 3, he chooses Door 2 with probability V). Should you switch? a

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