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A . As an equity security analyst, your current task is to estimate the fair value of an Australian stock in operation as of January
A As an equity security analyst, your current task is to estimate the fair value of an
Australian stock in operation as of January
Stock selection criteria: The stock must be a constituent of the ASX index;
the firm should operate in high carbon emission industries, such as companies of fossil
fuel, mining, steel, aluminum, cement, fertilizer manufacturing, or in the
transportation sector.
Note: You can select one stock that meets the criteria, except for Qantas and BHP
Approach: You have decided to use a Free Cash Flow to the Firm FCFF model and a
Multiplesbased approach, and then assign a different weight for each model result to
determine the stocks intrinsic value.
Source of data: Capital IQ and additional resources, including the respective
companys website.
For the FCFF approach, you agree with the annual consensus forecasts eg earnings, free
cash flows for the chosen stock over the next three or four fiscal years in Capital IQ
Beyond this time, you will derive estimates of longterm growth rates. Use the Capital
Asset Pricing Model to estimate the equity cost of capital. Assume a riskfree rate of
and a market risk premium of
For the Multiplesbased approach, you will select a multiple for your stock and its
comparable stocks at least two and justify your choices of multiples as well as
comparables.
Requirement: In your written report to the fund manager, you are expected to incorporate the
following:
Describe the valuation process for each method so one can replicate the analysis.
Justify your primary considerations for valuation.
Report your valuation results and provide an investment recommendation buy sell,
or hold based on your analysis
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