A B D E F G Parameter Value [Range] W N - Table 7-2 380,000 County Population N 0.06 Fraction High Risk 0.06 0.04 0.08 Low-Risk Vaccination Rate 0.05 0.03 0.07 High-Risk Vaccination Rate 0.6 0.4 0.8 Adverse Reaction Rate alpha 0.03 0.01 0.05 Low-Risk Mortality Rate mil 0.00005 0.000025 0.000075 High-Risk Vaccination Rate 0.001 0.0005 0.002 10 Herd Immunity Effect theta 0.5 1 11 Vaccine Effectivenss Rate 0.75 0.65 0.85 12 Hours Lost 24 18 30 13 Infection rate i 0.25 0.2 0.3 14 Fist-Year Epidemic Probability pl 0.4 0.02 0.15 15 Second-Year Epidemic Probability p2 0.2 16 Vaccine Dose Price $9.00 17 Overhead cost $120,000 18 Opportunity Cost of Time $12 19 Value of Life L $3,000,000 1,000,000 4,000,000 20 Discount Rate S4 21 Number High-Risk Vaccinations = 13,680 22 Number Low-Risk Vaccinations = vi(1-)N 17,860 23 Fraction Vaccinated - p*whitel*. SO 24 25 Table 7-3 in Millions 26 The direct program costs Ca 0.404 27 The costs of side effects C's 3.111 28 The epidemic's costs without the vaccin Cenv 57.855 29 The cost of the epidemic with the vaccin Celv 36.014 30 The expected costs of the epidemic with E[Cv) 22.036 31 The expected costs of the epidemic with E[Chy] 29.754 32 The expected net benefits E[NB] 7.718 33