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A baker must decide how many specialty cakes to bake each morning. From past experience, she knows that the daily demand for cakes ranges from

A baker must decide how many specialty cakes to bake each morning. From past experience, she knows that the daily demand for cakes ranges from 0 to 3. Each cake cost $3.00 to produce and sells for $8.00 and any unsold cakes are thrown into the garbage at the end of the day.

Payoff Table

Acts: Produce

States of Nature:

a0:

a1:

a2:

a3:

Demand

Bake 0 cake

Bake 1 cake

Bake 2 cakes

Bake 3 cakes

s0: 0 cake

0

-$3.00

-$6.00

-$9.00

s1: 1 cake

0

$5.00

$2.00

-$1.00

s2: 2 cakes

0

$5.00

$10.00

$7.00

s3: 3 cakes

0

$5.00

$10.00

$15.00

P (S1) = P (S2) = P (S3) = P (S4) = 0.25

Determine the EMV*. Keep to one decimal place.?

Determine the EMV decision.?

Determine the EOL*. Keep to one decimal place.?

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