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A bond investor has a 9 9 percent chance of receiving all of her promised payments on a particular bond issue in the first year

A bond investor has a 99 percent chance of receiving all of her promised payments on a particular bond issue in the first year of holding the bond, but only a 98 percent chance in the second year, and a 97 percent chance in the third year and beyond. What is the cumulative default probability over the first three years she holds the bond?
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Tres
3.75%
2
4.24%
5.89%
6.85%
7.33%
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