Question
A cab was involved in a hit-and-run accident at night. Two cab companies, Green and Blue, operate in the city. 50% of the cabs in
A cab was involved in a hit-and-run accident at night. Two cab companies, Green and Blue, operate in the city. 50% of the cabs in the city are Green; 50% are Blue. However, Green cabs are involved in 85% of accidents. A witness identified the cab as Blue. The court tested the reliability of the witness under the circumstances that existed on the night of the accident and concluded that the witness correctly identified each one of the two colors 80% of the time and failed 20% of the time. What is the probability that the cab involved in the accident was Blue rather than Green?
A)80%
B)41%
C)15%
D)12%
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