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a. Calculate the four-quarter centred moving averages for the following time series. (6 marks) Quarter 2018 2019 2020 2021 1 62 48 50 43 2

a. Calculate the four-quarter centred moving averages for the following time series. (6 marks)

Quarter

2018

2019

2020

2021

1

62

48

50

43

2

51

45

46

39

3

53

44

46

37

4

46

37

42

32

b. Monthly sales (in $1000s) of a US company are shown below.

Month

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

Sales

73

65

72

82

Compute the exponentially smoothed sales over the four months, with w = 0.3 and w = 0.5. (4 marks)

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