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A Company decided to start a new drug . The total R&D are $750000000 with clinical trials mounting to $120000,000. The current market size is

A Company decided to start a new drug . The total R&D are $750000000 with clinical trials mounting to $120000,000. The current market size is 2000,000 and expected to grow 3% every year . the company hope the first year is 8% and grow by 20% each year for next 4 years . a monthly prescription is to make revenue of $350 while incurring variable costs of $150. Discount rate of 9% is assumed . Please solve this in excel .

What is net present value over the first four years ?

By which year the company can expect to realize a positive cumulative profit ? what is the cumulative profit of this year ?

Conduct appropriate what -if analyses to investigate how the cumulative profit for the next four years and the net present value change if unit price varices between $250 and $450 with increment of $20 ( the table below is to show the format of the solution , using EXCEL )

Unit Price

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

NPV

250

270

290

310

330

350

370

390

410

430

450

Conduct appropriate what -if analyses to investigate the joint effect of unit cost and market share growth rate on net present value .( for consistency , let unit cost vary between $100 and $200 with increment of $10, and let market share growth rate vary between 10% and 30%, and increment of 2% . ( answers in excel )

Market share growth rate

Unit cost

0.1

0.12

0.14

0.16

0.18

0.2

0.22

0.24

0.26

0.28

0.3

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

190

200

5 . use a tornado chart to identify the most important 3 variables that affect the NPV .

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