Question
A currency dealer has good credit and can borrow either $1,000,000 or 800,000 for one year. The one-year interest rate in the U.S. is i
A currency dealer has good credit and can borrow either $1,000,000 or 800,000 for one year. The one-year interest rate in the U.S. is i$ = 2% and in the euro zone the one-year interest rate is i = 6%. The spot exchange rate is $1.25 = 1.00 and the one-year forward exchange rate is $1.20 = 1.00. Show how to realize a certain profit via covered interest arbitrage?
a.
Borrow $1,000,000 at 2%. Trade $1,000,000 for 800,000; invest at i = 6%; translate proceeds back at forward rate of $1.20 = 1.00, gross proceeds = $1,017,600
b.
Borrow 800,000 at i = 6%; translate to dollars at the spot, invest in the U.S. at i$ = 2% for one year; translate 848,000 back into euro at the forward rate of $1.20 = 1.00. Net profit $2,400
c.
Borrow 800,000 at i = 6%; translate to dollars back at forward rate of $1.20 = 1.00,, invest in the U.S. at i$ = 2% for one year; translate $979, 200 back into euro at the forward rate of $1.20 = 1.00. Net profit $17.500
d.
Borrow 800,000 at i = 6%; translate to dollars back at forward rate of $1.20 = 1.00,, invest in the U.S. at i$ = 2% for one year; translate $979, 200 back into euro at the forward rate of $1.20 = 1.00. Net loss $-16,000
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