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A four - year corporate bond with a fixed 6 % annual coupon rate and a par value of $ 1 , 0 0 0

A four-year corporate bond with a fixed 6% annual coupon rate and a par value of $1,000 is rated AA. Its modified duration is projected at 2.75 at the end of the first year. Given the representative One-Year Corporate Transition Matrix (entries are in %) and assuming no default, whats the expected return on the bond over the next year solely attributable to possible credit rating changes?
\table[[From/To,AAA,AA,A,BBB,BB,B,CCC, CC, C,D],[AAA,90.00,9.00,0.60,0.15,0.10,0.10,0.05,0.00],[AA,1.50,88.00,9.50,0.75,0.15,0.05,0.03,0.02],[A,0.05,2.50,87.50,8.40,0.75,0.60,0.12,0.08],[BBB,0.02,0.30,4.80,85.50,6.95,1.75,0.45,0.23],[BB,0.01,0.06,0.30,7.75,79.50,8.75,2.38,1.25],[B,0.00,0.05,0.15,1.40,9.15,76.60,8.45,4.20],[CCC, CC, C,0.00,0.01,0.12,0.87,1.65,18.50,49.25,29.60],[Credit Spread,0.60%,0.90%,1.10%,1.50%,3.40%,6.50%,9.50%,]]
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