Question
A group conducted a poll of 2045 likely voters just prior to an election The results of the survey indicated that candidate A would receive
A group conducted a poll of 2045 likely voters just prior to an election The results of the survey indicated that candidate A would receive 49 of the popular vote and candidate B would receive 48 of the popular vote The margin of error was reported to be 3 The group reported that the race was too close to call Use the concept of a confidence interval to explain what this means What does it mean to say the race was too close to call OA The margin of error suggests candidate A may receive between 46 and 52 of the popular vote and candidate B may receive between 45 and 51 of the popular vote Because the poll estimates overlap when accounting for margin of error the poll cannot predict the winner OB Since the poll results do not show that one of the candidates has more than 50 of the popular vote the poll cannot predict the winner OC Since the difference between the percentages of the popular vote for the candidates is less than the 3 of voters that are undecided the poll cannot predict the winner OD Since the estimated proportions depend on the level of confidence the candidate predicted to receive the greater percentage of the popular vote changes for different levels of confidence so the poll cannot predict the winner
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