Question
A group of investors wants to open up a jewelry store in a new shopping center. The investors are trying to decide whether to stock
A group of investors wants to open up a jewelry store in a new shopping center. The investors are trying to decide whether to stock the store with expensive jewelry, medium-priced jewelry, or inexpensive jewelry. The probability of their choice depends upon the economic conditions. The payoff table below gives the anticipated monthly profits (in $) for different states of the economy. The probability of prosperity is 0.4.
Decision Alternative | States of Nature | |
---|---|---|
Prosperity | Recession | |
Expensive | 19,000 | 4,000 |
Medium | 11,000 | 3,000 |
Inexpensive | 4,000 | 10,000 |
(a)Determine the expected value (in $) of each alternative.
EV(Expensive)=$
EV(Medium)=$
EV(Inexpensive)=$
Indicate which decision alternative is the best: Expensive, Medium or Inexpensive
(b)Determine the expected value with perfect information (in $) about the states of nature.$
(c)Determine the expected value of perfect information (in $).
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