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A manager is attempting to assess the probability of a recession ending in the next six months and its impact on expected profitability. The manager

A manager is attempting to assess the probability of a recession ending in the next six months and its impact on expected profitability. The manager believes there is a 33 percent chance the recession will end in six months and profits will return to $100 million. However, there is a 67 percent chance the recession will not end in six months, resulting in a $7 million loss. The standard deviation of profits over the next six months is
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$28.31 million.
$0 million.
$57.40 million.

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