A manager is attempting to assess the probability of a recession ending in the next six months and its impact on expected profitability. The manager believes there is a 75 percent chance the recession will end in six months and profits will return to $400 million. However, there is a 25 percent chance the recession will not end in six months, resulting in a $5 million loss. The expected profits over the next six months are

Multiple Choice

• $405 million.
• $395 million.
• $301.25 million.
• $298.75 million.