Question
A manager is hoping to estimate the relationship between quarterly advertising expenditures, and sales, in the same quarter. The model is motivated by the assumption
A manager is hoping to estimate the relationship between quarterly advertising expenditures, and sales, in the same quarter. The model is motivated by the assumption that there is a linear relationship between the two variables and anticipates an intercept (Alpha) of 0 based on a best-fit least squares line. The model appears below:
Sales= Intercept + Beta * (Advertising Budget) + (residuals)
Historical data was gathered on both variables over the last 5 years (60 observations of each). Regression results appear in the table below. Use it to answer the questions which follow:
SUMMARY | ||||||
Regression Statistics | ||||||
Multiple R | 0.49888 | |||||
R Square | 0.24889 | |||||
Adjusted R Square | 0.23571 | |||||
Standard Error | 0.05926 | |||||
Observations | 59 | |||||
ANOVA | ||||||
df | SS | MS | F | Significance F | ||
Regression | 1 | 0.0663 | 0.0663 | 18.887 | 5.7764E-05 | |
Residual | 57 | 0.20022 | 0.0035 | |||
Total | 58 | 0.26656 | ||||
Coefficients | Standard Error | t Stat | P-value | Lower 95% | Upper 95% | |
Intercept | 0.006886 | 0.0077 | 0.892 | 0.376 | -0.00857 | 0.02234 |
Advertising | 6.7716 | 1.5581 | 4.346 | 5.7E-05 | 3.651 | 9.8916 |
a) With a benchmark 95% confidence, can we reject the null hypothesis that (Intercept = 0)?
b) What would be the consequence of the manager committing a Type 1 error regarding the slope coefficient on Advertising Budget?
c) If $5 worth of sales is required to cover each $1 worth of advertising, are you 95% confident that an increase in the advertising budget would pay for itself?
d) why it is unlikely that this relationship is linear across all amounts for Advertising Budget.
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