Question
A oil exploration company is considering an investment of $100 million in some land. They believe the probability is 0.60 that a significant reserve of
A oil exploration company is considering an investment of $100 million in some land. They believe the probability is 0.60 that a significant reserve of oil will be discovered on the land if there is economic growth and oil is discovered the land will be worth $200 million and if oil is not discovered the land will be worth $120 million if there is recession and oil is discovered the land will be worth $150 million and if oil is not discovered the land will be worth $80 million they believe that the probability is 0.75 of growth and 0.25 of recession ( so you don't have to consider the probability of stagnation).
a) drama tree diagram that shows the four outcomes. Label the outcomes at the leaves and label the branches with their probability.
b) determine the expected value of this investment and explain what it means
Step by Step Solution
There are 3 Steps involved in it
Step: 1
Get Instant Access to Expert-Tailored Solutions
See step-by-step solutions with expert insights and AI powered tools for academic success
Step: 2
Step: 3
Ace Your Homework with AI
Get the answers you need in no time with our AI-driven, step-by-step assistance
Get Started