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A patient goes to a doctor to be tested for a disease. The disease is relatively rare, only affecting 1 in every 1,000 people. The
A patient goes to a doctor to be tested for a disease. The disease is relatively rare, only affecting 1 in every 1,000 people. The test is good but not perfect. W a person has the disease, there's a 98% that the test will catch it. If a person does not have the disease, there is a 10% chance that the test will incorrectly determine that they have the disease. Suppose that a patient's test comes back positive (ie the test says they have the disease). What is the probability that they actually have the disease? 0.02 0.0001 0.0646 0.0097
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