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A plant manager considers the operational cost per hour of five machine alternatives. The cost per hour is sensitive to three potential weather conditions:

A plant manager considers the operational cost per hour of five machine alternatives. The cost per hour is sensitive to three potential weather conditions: cold, mild, and warm. The following table represents the operations cost per hour for each alternative-state of nature combination: Alternatives Machine 1 Machine 2 Machine 3 Machine 4 Machine 5 States of Nature Weather-related cost per hour Cold cost/day Mild cost/day Warm cost/day $42 $45 $40 $60 $45 $40 $42 $35 $30 $40 $45 $47 $54 $48 $45 Using the optimistic criterion, which alternative is best? A plant manager considers the operational cost per hour of five machine alternatives. The cost per hour is sensitive to three potential weather conditions: cold, mild, and warm. The following table represents the operations cost per hour for each alternative-state of nature combination: Alternatives Machine 1 Machine 2 Machine 3 Machine 4 Machine 5 States of Nature Weather-related cost per hour Mild cost/day $40 Cold cost/day $42 $45 $40 $60 $45 0.3 $42 $35 $30 $40 0.5 Warm cost/day $45 $47 $54 $48 $45 0.2 EMV Assume that for a randomly selected day, there is a 30% probability of cold weather, 50% probability of mild weather, and 20% probability of warm weather. What is the EVPI?

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