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A poll the week before a US Congressional election shows the following predicted vote share for the candidates: 52.95 for the Democrat and 43.04 for

A poll the week before a US Congressional election shows the following predicted vote share for the candidates:

52.95 for the Democrat and 43.04 for the Republican.

The reported margin of error is 1.95

Given this information, who should we expect to win the election?

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