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A prestigious University of Tokio in search of a satisfactory text of statistics conducted an experiment: three guide texts were established for 1000 students so

A prestigious University of Tokio in search of a satisfactory text of statistics conducted an experiment: three guide texts were established for 1000 students so that each one chose the one they liked the most, the consultation was made at the end of the semester and was obtained: 500 students used the book by Jay L. Devore, 300 the text of Walpole Myers, and 200 the one by Gabriel Velasco Sotomayor, also asked about how satisfied they felt with the book chosen as follows: 200 students felt satisfied with the text of Gabriel Velasco Sotomayor. Devore, 300 the text of Walpole Myers, and 200 the one of Gabriel Velasco Sotomayor, also asked about how satisfied they were with the chosen book: 200 students were satisfied with the book of Professor Jay L. Devore, 150 with Walpole Myers and 40 were not satisfied with the book of Gabriel Velasco Sotomayor, If you randomly select a student who is studying the subject and states that he was satisfied with the chosen book, which is the most likely author?

OPTIONS

A. Jay L Devore, P=0.5

B. Jay L Devore, P=0.31373

C. Gabriel Velasco Sotomayor, P=0.4922

D. Jay L. Devore, P=0.3922

E. Walpole Myers, P=0.2941

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