Question
A production manager is deciding which of four potential selling prices to charge for a unique product. The market for the product is uncertain and
A production manager is deciding which of four potential selling prices to charge for a unique product. The market for the product is uncertain and reaction from competitors may be strong, medium or weak. The manager has prepared a payoff table showing the forecast profit for each of the possible outcomes.
Competitor Reaction | Selling Prices | |||
$ 80 | $ 90 | $100 | $ 110 | |
Strong | $ 70,000 | $ 80,000 | $ 70,000 | $ 75,000 |
Medium | $50,000 | $60,000 | $70,000 | $ 80,000 |
Weak | $ 90,000 | $100,000 | $ 90,000 | $ 80,000 |
Required:
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(a) Identify the selling price that would be chosen if the manager applies the maximin criterion to make the decision.
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(b) Identify, using a regret matrix, the selling price that would be chosen if the manager applies the minimax regret criterion to make the decision.
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(c) Explain the meaning of expected value with a relevant example.
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