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A project is worth $18 million today. One year from today, the project will be worth $22 million with high demand and $14 million with

A project is worth $18 million today. One year from today, the project will be worth $22 million with high demand and $14 million with low demand. It will also be possible to sell the project off for $16 million one year from today. Using risk neutral probabilities, which of the following is closest to the value of the abandonment option if the risk-free rate is 4% per year?

  1. $0.79 million
  2. $1.58 million
  3. $2.71 million
  4. $3.45 million

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