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A prospective study with a 2-year (24-month) follow-up was conducted among 10 residents of a nursing home in Springfield Illinois. Results are shown in the

A prospective study with a 2-year (24-month) follow-up was conducted among 10 residents of a nursing home in Springfield Illinois. Results are shown in the table for all individuals who either died or were censored before the end of the follow-up period.

Follow-up Time (Months)

Events

2

Death

4

Censored

7

Censored

8

Death

12

Censored

15

Death

17

Death

19

Death

20

Censored

23

Death

Using the data from the table, calculate for all deaths (fill in the table below):

  1. The probability of death at the exact time when each death occurred (2 points)
  2. The probability of survival beyond the time when each death occurred (2 points)
  3. The cumulative probabilities of survival (2 points)

Follow-up Time (Months)

Event

Probability of death at the exact time when the death occurred

Probability of survival beyond the point when the death occurred

Cumulative probability of survival beyond the time when death occurred

2

8

15

17

19

23

IV. What is the cumulative survival probability at the end of the follow-up? (2 points)

V. What is the simple proportion of individuals apparently surviving (i.e., not observed to die) through the end of the study's observation period? (2 points)

VI. Why are the simple proportion of surviving and the cumulative probability of survival different? (5 points)

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