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A restaurant wants to forecast its weekly sales (in dollars) for 15 weeks are shown below: Time Period Observation 1 1486 2 1345 3 1455

A restaurant wants to forecast its weekly sales (in dollars) for 15 weeks are shown below:

Time Period Observation
1 1486
2 1345
3 1455
4 1386
5 1209
6 1178
7 1581
8 1332
9 1245
10 1521
11 1544
12 1502
13 1656
14 1701
15 1532

Use the following Template to solve the problem and answer the following questions

image text in transcribed

(a.) What is the forecast for week 16, using a two-period moving average?

(b.) What is the forecast for week 16, using a three-period moving average?

(c.) Compute and compare MSE for the two- and three-period moving average models.

(d.) Can you think of the best number of periods for the moving average model based on MSE

Enter data only in yellow cells. The template is designed for up to 20 observations and k -2, 3, or 4. Periods in moving average,k(2,3, or 41 3 observation Forecast Time period Error Error 1172 217 190 #N/A #N/A #N/A 233 193.00 40.00 160.00 1178.78 179 213.33 -34.33 162 200.67 1495.11 191.33 1367 181.67 1.67 2.78 43.00 1849.00 250 2013.00 4 2209.00 1511 -67.33 4533.78 11 218.33 218 208.67 9.33 87.11 13, #N/A #N/A 14 RNA. #N/A #N/A 16 #N/A #N/A. #N/A 17 MN/A AN/A #N/A #N/A 250 Moving Average Forecast 3 14 Time Period Observaton Forecast 9 20

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