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a sales representative tells his friend that the probability of landing a major contract by the end of the week, resulting in a large commission
a sales representative tells his friend that the probability of landing a major contract by the end of the week, resulting in a large commission (C) is 0.7. if the commission comes through, the probability that he will indulge in a weeklong vacation to the Bahamas (B) is 0.85. Even if the commission doesnt come through (No C) he may still go to bahamas, but only with probability 0.4.
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