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A simplified transition matrix for a portfolio of two-year bonds XYZ with a face value of $20,000,000, is shown below. The bonds have a recovery

A simplified transition matrix for a portfolio of two-year bonds XYZ with a face value of $20,000,000, is shown below. The bonds have a recovery rate of 45%.

Start rating

End rating

A

B

C

D

A

0.80

0.14

0.04

0.02

B

0.14

0.80

0.04

0.02

C

0.00

0.18

0.75

0.07

D

0.00

0.00

0.00

1.00

a. If the XYZ bonds are rated A what is the average probability they will default over a two-year period?

%2.08

Round your answer to two decimals.

b. Using the average probability, what is the average annual expected loss using the actuarial method?

c. If the XYZ bonds are rated C what is the cumulative probability of default over the two years period?

d. Using the cumulative probability, what is the expected loss over the two years?

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