Question
A simplified transition matrix for a portfolio of two-year bonds XYZ with a face value of $20,000,000, is shown below. The bonds have a recovery
A simplified transition matrix for a portfolio of two-year bonds XYZ with a face value of $20,000,000, is shown below. The bonds have a recovery rate of 45%.
Start rating | End rating | |||
A | B | C | D | |
A | 0.80 | 0.14 | 0.04 | 0.02 |
B | 0.14 | 0.80 | 0.04 | 0.02 |
C | 0.00 | 0.18 | 0.75 | 0.07 |
D | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
a. If the XYZ bonds are rated A what is the average probability they will default over a two-year period?
%2.08
Round your answer to two decimals.
b. Using the average probability, what is the average annual expected loss using the actuarial method?
c. If the XYZ bonds are rated C what is the cumulative probability of default over the two years period?
d. Using the cumulative probability, what is the expected loss over the two years?
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