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A single-bond portfolio is worth $100 mn. What is the dollar profit/loss expected over the next year? Portfolio consists of 10-year, 3.5% coupon bonds ($100

A single-bond portfolio is worth $100 mn. What is the dollar profit/loss expected over the next year?

  • Portfolio consists of 10-year, 3.5% coupon bonds ($100 par value) issued last year. The market yield at the time of issuance was 2.5%. The yield curve has remained unchanged since.
  • At the time of issuance the bond had a AA rating. The issuer has since then incurred significant increases in operating costs and given a drop in the operating profit margins, analysts have estimated that the bond will most likely be downgraded to a BBB within the next year.
  • The bond has the duration and convexity similar to a 7-year Zero-coupon Bond
  • The bond is expected to have a currency loss of 0.50% over the period.

Benchmark yield and yield spreads for bonds with different credit ratings are given below:

Rating Benchmark Yield Yield Spread
AAA 0.5% 0.25%
AA 0.75% 0.9%
BBB 1.35% 0.98%
CCC 2.45% 1.05%
D 4.8% 1.25%

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