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A stock price is currently $20. It is known that in three months it will go up to 22 or down to 18. The risk-free

A stock price is currently $20. It is known that in three months it will go up to 22 or down to 18. The risk-free interest rate is 6% per annum with continuous compounding. What is p (the

risk-neutral probability of an up movement)

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