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A trust officer for a major banking institution is planning the investment of a $ 1 million family trust fund for the coming year. The

A trust officer for a major banking institution is planning
the investment of a $1 million family trust fund for the
coming year. The trust officer has identified a portfolio of
stocks and another group of bonds that might be selected
for investment. The family trust can be invested in stocks
or bonds exclusively, or a mix of the two. This trust officer
prefers to divide the funds in increments of 10%; that is, the
family trust is split into the following alternatives:
(a)100% stocks and 0% bonds
(d)70% stocks
and 30% bonds
(b)90% stocks and 10% bonds
(e)0% stocks and
100% bonds
(c)80% stocks and 20% bonds
The trust officer has evaluated the relationship between the
yields on the different investments and the general
economic conditions. Her judgment is as follows:
(1) If the next year is characterized by solid growth in the
economy, bonds will yield 12% and stocks 20%;
(2) If the next year is characterized by inflation, bonds will
yield 18% and stocks 10%
(3) If the next year is characterized by stagnation, bonds
will yield 12% and stocks 8%.
(A) Constructs the payoff and the opportunity loss table.
(B) Determine the best decision using the maximax,
maximin, Laplace, Hurwicz (=0.40) and minimax
regret criteria.
(C) Suppose that a leading economic forecasting firm
projects solid growth
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