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A US Firm holds an asset in Germany whose value in one year's time depends on the Euro - Dollar exchange rate. In the table
A US Firm holds an asset in Germany whose value in one year's time depends on the EuroDollar
exchange rate. In the table below I have given you the probabilities of various scenarios, the
future spot rate in one year's time and Euro price of that asset.
a What is the expected EUR value of the asset? What is the expected USD value of the
asset? What is the variance of the USD value of the asset
b Compute the exchange exposure faced by the US firm. What are its units?
c Is the exposure higher or lower than the expected EUR value? Why?
d What forward position will hedge this exposure?
e Assume that the forward rate is equal to the expected spot rate. Calculate the USD value
of the combined asset plus hedge position as a function of the exchange rate in all the
states above. Does it seem like an effective hedge?
f What is the expected USD value of the combined position? What is the variance of the
USD value of the combined position?
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