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A vacant lot has been zoned to construct today either 50 offices or 50 apartments. Assume that: Construction must occur immediately and cannot be delayed.
A vacant lot has been zoned to construct today either 50 offices or 50 apartments. Assume that:
- Construction must occur immediately and cannot be delayed.
- Construction costs are $75 per office or $90 per apartment.
- The current price of offices is $100 and the current price of the apartments is $105.
- The rental rate is $10 per office and also $10 per apartment (net of expenses, to be received at the end of the year).
- The real estate market can evolve as follows: In one year:
If the real estate market booms, offices will sell for $140 and apartments for $125.
If the real estate market does poorly, offices will sell for $85 and apartments for $100.
Note: Probability of boom is not known; risk-free rate of return is not known.
- What is the value of vacant lot?
- Suppose now that, in addition to the previous information, a new construction technology becomes available. This technology allows building offices that can be converted into apartments by incurring in a $10 per unit (next year) if the office is actually converted into an apartment. Find the value of the lot now.
- Suppose now that the cost of converting offices into apartments is $20 per unit (again, to be paid next year). Value the lot now. Explain.
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