Question
A/. You're an Australian stock analyst employed at a brokerage. It's 9am and you're about to send an email update to your clients before the
A/. You're an Australian stock analyst employed at a brokerage. It's 9am and you're about to send an email update to your clients before the Australian equity market opens at 10am.
Overnight, the big news was that the gold price fell by 6%, while the S&P500 index and ASX200 index futures were unchanged.
You believe that an Australian gold mining firm's market value of assets would also have fallen by the same proportion as the gold price.
You're trying to calculate how much the levered mining firm's share price should fall when the Australian equity market opens later this morning.
The mining firm's debt-to-assets ratio is 2/3, assets-to-equity ratio is 3 and debt-to-equity ratio is 2, all based on market values.
How much do you expect the mining firm's share price to fall by when the Australian equity market opens this morning? It's expected to fall by around:
a. 0.6667%
b. 4%
c. 6%
d. 12%
e. 18%
b/. Adam Schwab wrote that "Atlassian is one of the worlds most overvalued businesses by almost any metric. Even though it loses money, Atlassian trades on a multiple of price to sales of a comical 25 times. Stern did a comparison of price-sales multiples in January 2022, noting that the multiple for the entire market was 2.88 and for software (this was before the bubble popped) was 16 times."
Which of the following explanations is NOT correct? Atlassian's stock may be fairly priced if investors beleive that its expected future:
a. Sales growth will (continue) to be higher than the US software industry's.
b. Profit margins will improve and be higher than the US software industry's.
c. Required returns on debt, equity and assets (WACC) will be lower than the US software industry's due to lower US government bond yields.
d. Revenues, profits and cash flows will have a low correlation with the S&P500 and US GDP growth, so its asset and equity betas and WACC will be lower than the US software industry's.
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