Question
A bank is considering offering a loan of $100,000 to a client. If the loan is not offered, then the bank invests the $100,000 receives
A bank is considering offering a loan of $100,000 to a client. If the loan is not offered, then the bank invests the $100,000 receives a sure payoff from the investment of $200 (i.e., receives $100,200 at the end of the year). Prior to a decision of whether or not to offer the loan, the bank can run a credit analysis on the client that returns one of two possible predictions:
(1) the client will default on the loan in which case the bank would lose $100,000,
(2) the client will pay back the loan with interest in which case the bank receives a payoff of $6,000 (i.e., receives $106,000 at the end of the year). The probability that the credit analysis will return the first prediction (client defaults) is 1%. What is the EVPI?
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Financial Markets and Institutions
Authors: Anthony Saunders, Marcia Cornett
6th edition
9780077641849, 77861663, 77641841, 978-0077861667
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