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fill out the two tables using the figures from Exhibit 5. I was able to fill half of one table, but have been unable to

fill out the two tables using the figures from Exhibit 5. I was able to fill half of one table, but have been unable to figure out the rest. Include your calculations and how you got to the numbers!!!


Exhibit 5 Montreaux Purchase Volume Estimate, Year One Trial Purchase Rate Repeat Rate by Product Definitely would buy MediocBASES Model Projection Baseline Case Definitely would buy % of Definites who actually buy Definite Purchases 23% 80% 18.4Summary of Various Scenarios Mediocre Product Average Product Sales Volume Sales Volume (s ($ MM) MM) Excellent Product Sales

Exhibit 5 Montreaux Purchase Volume Estimate, Year One Trial Purchase Rate Definitely would buy Probably would buy U.S. Households (MM) Penetration Marketing Plan Adjustments Consumer Awareness Low Support Medium Support High Support Pricing 23% 40% 120 92% 14% 17% 20% $4.49 Repeat Rate by Product Mediocre Product Average Product Excellent Product Repeat Purchase Occasions (units) ACV Low Medium High Montreaux sells at 65% MSRP 28% 33% 38% 4 60% 65% 79% 65% Assumed penetration of chocolate users. NOTE: Acceptable hurdle rate is $30MM. All numbers are fictitious and used for illustrative purposes. Methodology 1. Trial Rate = "Definites" * 80% + "Probables" *30% 2. Marketing-Adjusted Trial Rate = Trial Rate * % Awareness * % ACV (distribution) Penetration 3. Trial Households Households x Marketing-Adjusted Trial Rate 4. Repeat Volume = Trial Households * % of Households Repurchasing * Repeat Purchase Occasions 5. Total Purchases = Trial Purchases + Repeat Purchases 6. Retail Sales Value = Retail Selling Price * Retail Sales Volume 7. Sales Volume = Retail Sales Volume * .65; the NPD team assumed that Montreaux would sell its product for 65% of the MSRP.

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