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Actions for Choice Between Prospects Consider two prospects. Problem 1: Choose between Prospect A: $2,500 with probability 0.33 $2,400 with probability 0.66 Zero with probability

Actions for Choice Between Prospects

Consider two prospects.

Problem 1: Choose between

Prospect A:

$2,500 with probability

0.33

$2,400 with probability

0.66

Zero with probability

0.01

Prospect B:

$2,400 with probability

1.00

Problem 2: Choose between

Prospect C:

$2,500 with probability

0.33

Zero with probability

0.67

Prospect D:

$2,400 with probability

0.34

Zero with probability

0.66

It has been shown by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky (1979, Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk,Econometrica47(2), 263-291) that more people choose B when presented with problem 1 and when presented with problem 2, most people choose C. These choices violate expected utility theory. Why?

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