Question
Actions for Choice Between Prospects Consider two prospects. Problem 1: Choose between Prospect A: $2,500 with probability 0.33 $2,400 with probability 0.66 Zero with probability
Actions for Choice Between Prospects
Consider two prospects.
Problem 1: Choose between
Prospect A: | $2,500 with probability | 0.33 |
$2,400 with probability | 0.66 | |
Zero with probability | 0.01 | |
Prospect B: | $2,400 with probability | 1.00 |
Problem 2: Choose between
Prospect C: | $2,500 with probability | 0.33 |
Zero with probability | 0.67 | |
Prospect D: | $2,400 with probability | 0.34 |
Zero with probability | 0.66 |
It has been shown by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky (1979, Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk,Econometrica47(2), 263-291) that more people choose B when presented with problem 1 and when presented with problem 2, most people choose C. These choices violate expected utility theory. Why?
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