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Add to their table by choosing a risk level for each state of nature (assign a probability value to each). Calculate and state the expected
- Add to their table by choosing a risk level for each state of nature (assign a probability value to each).
- Calculate and state the expected monetary value (EMV) for each alternative.
- Discuss which alternative is best based on the maximum EMV.
- Calculate and state the expected value with perfect information (EVwPI).
- Calculate and state the expected value of perfect information (EVPI).
- Discuss the most money your classmate should pay for perfect information.
Good Demand | Acceptable Demand | Poor Demand | |
3 New Locations | 5,175 | 2,925 | -525 |
1 New Location | 1,725 | 975 | -175 |
No New Locations | 0 | 0 | 0 |
= | 0.75 | |||
Good Demand | Acceptable Demand | Poor Demand | Alternative Value | |
3 New Locations | 5,175 | 2,925 | -525 | 3,750 |
1 New Location | 1,725 | 975 | -175 | 1,250 |
No New Locations | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hurwicz Criteria | ||||
3,750 |
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