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A.....Define the term autoregressive model and list two of its assumptions. B....Use the demand data to generate forecast values with AR(1), AR(2) and AR(3) and

A.....Define the term autoregressive model and list two of its assumptions.

B....Use the demand data to generate forecast values with AR(1), AR(2) and AR(3) and compare the model with multiple R value to make your decision.

Data
Month GDP in billions of current dollars
2001 10284.80
2002 10621.80
2003 10977.50
2004 11510.70
2005 12274.90
2006 13093.70
2007 13855.90
2008 14477.60
2009 14718.60
2010 14418.70
2011 14964.40
2012 15517.90
2013 16155.30
2014 16691.50
2015 17427.60
2016 18120.70

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