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Allied Food Products is considering expanding into the fruit juice business with a new fresh lemon juice product. Assume that you were recently hired as
Allied Food Products is considering expanding into the fruit juice business with a new fresh | |||||
lemon juice product. Assume that you were recently hired as assistant to the director of capital | |||||
budgeting and you must evaluate the new project. | |||||
The lemon juice would be produced in an unused building adjacent to Allieds Fort Myers plant; | |||||
Allied owns the building, which is fully depreciated. The required equipment would cost | |||||
$200,000, plus an additional $40,000 for shipping and installation. In addition, inventories would | |||||
rise by $25,000, while accounts payable would increase by $5,000. All of these costs would be | |||||
incurred at t = 0. By a special ruling, the machinery could be depreciated under the MACRS | |||||
system as 3-year property. The applicable depreciation rates are 33%, 45%, 15%, and 7%. | |||||
The project is expected to operate for 4 years, at which time it will be terminated. The cash | |||||
inflows are assumed to begin 1 year after the project is undertaken, or at t = 1, and to continue | |||||
value of $25,000. | |||||
Unit sales are expected to total 100,000 units per year, and the expected sales price is $2.00 per | |||||
unit. Cash operating costs for the project (total operating costs less depreciation) are expected | |||||
to total 60% of dollar sales. Allied's tax rate is 40%, and its WACC is 10%. Tentatively, the lemon | |||||
juice project is assumed to be of equal risk to Allied's other assets. | |||||
You have been asked to evaluate the project and to make a recommendation as to whether it | |||||
should be accepted or rejected. To guide you in your analysis, your boss gave you the following | |||||
set of tasks/questions. |
This from Fundamentals of financial management concise 9e chapter 12 mini case need help to solve the sensitivity analysis on excel for part f.
PART F | |||||||
(2) How would you perform a sensitivity analysis on the unit sales, salvage value, and WACC | |||||||
for the project? Assume that each of these variables deviates from its base-case, or | |||||||
expected, value by plus or minus 10%, 20%, and 30%. | |||||||
The base case value for unit sales was 100,000; therefore, if you were to assume that this value | |||||||
deviated by plus and minus 10%, 20%, and 30%, the unit sales values to be used in the sensitivity | |||||||
analysis would be 70,000, 80,000, 90,000, 110,000, 120,000, and 130,000 units. You would then go | |||||||
back to the table at the beginning of the problem, insert the appropriate sales unit number, say | |||||||
70,000 units, and rework the table for the change in sales units arriving at different project | |||||||
free cash flow values. Once you had the free cash flow values, you would calculate the NPV, | |||||||
IRR, MIRR, and payback as you did previously. (Note that sensitivity analysis involves making a | |||||||
change to only one variable to see how it impacts other variables.) Then, you would go back | |||||||
and repeat the same steps for 80,000 units--this would be done for each of the sales unit values. | |||||||
Then, you would repeat the same procedure for the sensitivity analysis on salvage value and on | |||||||
cost of capital. (Note that for the cost of capital analysis, the free cash flows would remain the | |||||||
same, but the cost of capital used in the NPV and MIRR calculations would be different.) | |||||||
Excel is ideally suited for sensitivity analysis. Using data tables, the sensitivity analysis is simple. | |||||||
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS DATA TABLES | |||||||
Unit Sales | Salvage Value | WACC | |||||
-0.3 | 70,000 | 17,500 | 7.0% | ||||
-0.2 | 80,000 | 20,000 | 8.0% | ||||
-0.1 | 90,000 | 22,500 | 9.0% | ||||
0.0 | 100,000 | 25,000 | 10.0% | ||||
0.1 | 110,000 | 27,500 | 11.0% | ||||
0.2 | 120,000 | 30,000 | 12.0% | ||||
0.3 | 130,000 | 32,500 | 13.0% | ||||
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