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Along with the sensitivity analysis, Zeva is including a scenario analysis for the project in her report, giving the probability of the project generating a

Along with the sensitivity analysis, Zeva is including a scenario analysis for the project in her report, giving the probability of the project generating a negative NPV. Her report includes the following information about the scenario analysis:

Data Collected

Outcome NPVjj Probability (Pjj)
Pessimistic $5.62 million 0.35
Most likely $7.94 million 0.30
Optimistic $16.45 million 0.35

Probability Data for z

z 0.03 0.06 0.09
-1.0 0.1515 0.1446 0.1379
-0.8 0.2033 0.1949 0.1867
-0.6 0.2643 0.2546 0.2451
-0.4 0.3336 0.3228 0.3121

Complete the missing information in Zevas report: (Note: Round your answers to two decimal places.)

The expected net present value of the project is _____ .
Standard deviation of the net present value (the NPV of the project is likely to vary by) ______ million.
Assuming that probability distribution is normal, the value of z is_____ .
Thus, the project has a _______ chance to generate an NPV of less than $0.

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